26 Oct · 00:25 MEZHigh · Clear Favorite
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1388
FormLLLLL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Krupa
SK
🇵🇱Sebastian Krupa
ELO 1507
FormWWWLL
37%
63%
🌟Nowak goes over total as underdog 64% (78)
Fair odds · Krupa
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 66% · 1.52· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~76 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+119
H2H17-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+119)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-8)