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26 Oct · 00:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
GMGrzegorz Marud
🇵🇱Grzegorz Marud
ELO 1516
3-0Final setsMarud won
MPMichal Paszkiewicz
🇵🇱Michal Paszkiewicz
ELO 1424
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Marud at 56%. The actual result was Grzegorz Marud 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Grzegorz Marud favoured — closing 1.6
Favourite won
Total 73.5
55 points played
Under
Set handicap
Grzegorz Marud −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Grzegorz Marud −3.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
4.65
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Grzegorz Marud is favoured to win, below means Michal Paszkiewicz.

▲ Grzegorz Marudpre 60% → final 91%
Michal Paszkiewicz ▼
Biggest swing 37 pts53 points · 3 games