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26 Oct · 01:20 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
OVOliver Vincenec
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1516
3-2Final setsVincenec won
LOLukasz Oracz
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1494
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Vincenec at 50%. The actual result was Oliver Vincenec 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Lukasz Oracz favoured — closing 1.8
Upset
Total 78.5
92 points played
Over
Set handicap
Lukasz Oracz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Lukasz Oracz −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.4
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Oliver Vincenec is favoured to win, below means Lukasz Oracz.

▲ Oliver Vincenecpre 54% → final 95%
Lukasz Oracz ▼
Biggest swing 67 ptsVincenec recovered from 30%72 points · 5 games