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26 Oct · 03:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
SKSebastian Krupa
🇵🇱Sebastian Krupa
ELO 1512
3-1Final setsKrupa won
GSGrzegorz Sawicki
🇵🇱Grzegorz Sawicki
ELO 1387
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Krupa at 62%. The actual result was Sebastian Krupa 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Sebastian Krupa favoured — closing 1.32
Favourite won
Total 73.5
75 points played
Over
Set handicap
Sebastian Krupa −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Sebastian Krupa −6.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.1
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Sebastian Krupa is favoured to win, below means Grzegorz Sawicki.

▲ Sebastian Krupapre 66% → final 82%
Grzegorz Sawicki ▼
Biggest swing 45 pts72 points · 4 games