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26 Oct · 04:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
GMGrzegorz Marud
🇵🇱Grzegorz Marud
ELO 1516
2-3Final setsOracz won
LOLukasz Oracz
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1494
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Marud at 54%. The actual result was Lukasz Oracz 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Grzegorz Marud favoured — closing 1.8
Upset
Total 73.5
99 points played
Over
Set handicap
Grzegorz Marud −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Grzegorz Marud −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Grzegorz Marud is favoured to win, below means Lukasz Oracz.

▲ Grzegorz Marudpre 51% → final 11%
Lukasz Oracz ▼
Biggest swing 79 ptsOracz recovered from 16%72 points · 5 games