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26 Oct · 06:15 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
BCBartosz Czerwinski
🇵🇱Bartosz Czerwinski
ELO 1568
3-2Final setsCzerwinski won
DKDawid Kosmal
🇵🇱Dawid Kosmal
ELO 1611
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kosmal at 57%. The actual result was Bartosz Czerwinski 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Dawid Kosmal favoured — closing 1.65
Upset
Total 73.5
97 points played
Over
Set handicap
Dawid Kosmal −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Dawid Kosmal −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.6
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartosz Czerwinski is favoured to win, below means Dawid Kosmal.

▲ Bartosz Czerwinskipre 46% → final 75%
Dawid Kosmal ▼
Biggest swing 79 ptsCzerwinski recovered from 11%72 points · 5 games