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Ratings & Predictions
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26 Oct · 07:25 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
BCBartosz Czerwinski
🇵🇱Bartosz Czerwinski
ELO 1568
2-3Final setsKolek won
MKMaciej Kolek
🇵🇱Maciej Kolek
ELO 1655
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kolek at 58%. The actual result was Maciej Kolek 2-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Maciej Kolek favoured — closing 1.6
Favourite won
Total 74.5
90 points played
Over
Set handicap
Maciej Kolek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Maciej Kolek −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartosz Czerwinski is favoured to win, below means Maciej Kolek.

▲ Bartosz Czerwinskipre 38% → final 4%
Maciej Kolek ▼
Biggest swing 55 ptsKolek recovered from 43%72 points · 5 games