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26 Oct · 08:20 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
BMBartlomiej Mleczko
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mleczko
ELO 1495
3-2Final setsMleczko won
MKMilosz Kukawka
🇵🇱Milosz Kukawka
ELO 1493
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Mleczko at 52%. The actual result was Bartlomiej Mleczko 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mleczko favoured — closing 1.8
Favourite won
Total 74.5
97 points played
Over
Set handicap
Mleczko −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Mleczko −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.4
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartlomiej Mleczko is favoured to win, below means Milosz Kukawka.

▲ Bartlomiej Mleczkopre 56% → final 95%
Milosz Kukawka ▼
Biggest swing 72 ptsMleczko recovered from 23%72 points · 5 games