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26 Oct · 09:05 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MKMaciej Kolek
🇵🇱Maciej Kolek
ELO 1655
3-2Final setsKolek won
DKDawid Kosmal
🇵🇱Dawid Kosmal
ELO 1611
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kolek at 53%. The actual result was Maciej Kolek 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Dawid Kosmal favoured — closing 1.8
Upset
Total 74.5
83 points played
Over
Set handicap
Dawid Kosmal −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Dawid Kosmal −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.4
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Maciej Kolek is favoured to win, below means Dawid Kosmal.

▲ Maciej Kolekpre 57% → final 98%
Dawid Kosmal ▼
Biggest swing 73 ptsKolek recovered from 25%72 points · 5 games