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26 Oct · 08:40 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
BCBartosz Czerwinski
🇵🇱Bartosz Czerwinski
ELO 1568
3-2Final setsCzerwinski won
MRMateusz Rutkowski
🇵🇱Mateusz Rutkowski
ELO 1570
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Rutkowski at 52%. The actual result was Bartosz Czerwinski 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Bartosz Czerwinski favoured — closing 1.7
Favourite won
Total 74.5
109 points played
Over
Set handicap
Bartosz Czerwinski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Bartosz Czerwinski −2.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.2
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartosz Czerwinski is favoured to win, below means Mateusz Rutkowski.

▲ Bartosz Czerwinskipre 51% → final 99%
Mateusz Rutkowski ▼
Biggest swing 64 ptsCzerwinski recovered from 35%72 points · 5 games