26 Oct · 10:30 MEZLow · Coin Flip
MW
🇵🇱Michal Wolny
ELO 1479
FormWWWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Michalik
JM
🇵🇱Jerzy Michalik
ELO 1482
FormWWWWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Michalik
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 57% · 1.75· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
20%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+3
H2H27-27
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.