26 Oct · 10:30 MEZMedium · Model Lean
GP
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1700
FormWWWLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Poliniewicz
JM
🇵🇱Jacek Mitas
ELO 1615
FormWWWLW
59%
41%
🌟Poliniewicz rarely covers set handicap as favourite 24% (17)
Fair odds · Poliniewicz
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 56% · 1.80· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+85
H2H6-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+85)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-4)