26 Oct · 11:05 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
PM
🇵🇱Patryk Mecik
ELO 1363
FormWLLLL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Fomin
YF
🇵🇱Yurij Fomin
ELO 1507
FormWWLLW
35%
65%
Fair odds · Fomin
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~76 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+144
H2H35-31
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+144)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (35-31)