26 Oct · 21:15 MEZLow · Slight Edge
MM
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1465
FormWLLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Linek
AL
🇵🇱Adam Linek
ELO 1498
FormWLLWW
46%
54%
🌟Linek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (41)
Fair odds · Linek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 2.01· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~79 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+33
H2H54-63
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.