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26 Oct · 09:45 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
RSRafal Skotniczny
🇵🇱Rafal Skotniczny
ELO 1598
3-2Final setsSkotniczny won
JPJakub Pruszkowski
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1548
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Skotniczny at 56%. The actual result was Rafal Skotniczny 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Skotniczny favoured — closing 1.85
Favourite won
Total 75.5
100 points played
Over
Set handicap
Skotniczny −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Skotniczny −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.1
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Rafal Skotniczny is favoured to win, below means Jakub Pruszkowski.

▲ Rafal Skotnicznypre 60% → final 78%
Jakub Pruszkowski ▼
Biggest swing 66 ptsSkotniczny recovered from 13%72 points · 5 games