26 Oct · 23:00 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
ZN
🇵🇱Zbigniew Nocun
ELO 1546
FormLWWWL
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Nocun
KB
🇵🇱Krzysztof Bladziak
ELO 1357
FormLLLLW
70%
30%
Fair odds · Nocun
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 81% · 1.23· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 53%Total ~76 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
26%
3-2
17%
1-3
12%
2-3
11%
Elo Gap+189
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+189)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)