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26 Oct · 10:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
GPGrzegorz Poliniewicz
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1694
1-3Final setsRutkowski won
MRMateusz Rutkowski
🇵🇱Mateusz Rutkowski
ELO 1578
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Poliniewicz at 65%. The actual result was Mateusz Rutkowski 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Poliniewicz favoured — closing 1.65
Upset
Total 74.5
81 points played
Over
Set handicap
Poliniewicz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Poliniewicz −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Grzegorz Poliniewicz is favoured to win, below means Mateusz Rutkowski.

▲ Grzegorz Poliniewiczpre 63% → final 80%
Mateusz Rutkowski ▼
Biggest swing 57 ptsPoliniewicz recovered from 43%72 points · 5 games