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DeuceLab
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26 Oct · 11:05 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MKMaciej Kolek
🇵🇱Maciej Kolek
ELO 1636
2-3Final setsPoliniewicz won
GPGrzegorz Poliniewicz
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1694
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Poliniewicz at 56%. The actual result was Grzegorz Poliniewicz 2-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Poliniewicz favoured — closing 1.75
Favourite won
Total 76.5
82 points played
Over
Set handicap
Poliniewicz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Poliniewicz −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Maciej Kolek is favoured to win, below means Grzegorz Poliniewicz.

▲ Maciej Kolekpre 47% → final 1%
Grzegorz Poliniewicz ▼
Biggest swing 55 pts72 points · 4 games