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26 Oct · 10:45 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
BCBartosz Czerwinski
🇵🇱Bartosz Czerwinski
ELO 1559
3-1Final setsCzerwinski won
JMJacek Mitas
🇵🇱Jacek Mitas
ELO 1621
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Mitas at 55%. The actual result was Bartosz Czerwinski 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mitas favoured — closing 1.47
Upset
Total 73.5
79 points played
Over
Set handicap
Mitas −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Mitas −5.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
5.7
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartosz Czerwinski is favoured to win, below means Jacek Mitas.

▲ Bartosz Czerwinskipre 48% → final 88%
Jacek Mitas ▼
Biggest swing 73 ptsCzerwinski recovered from 26%72 points · 4 games