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26 Oct · 10:50 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MLMaciej Lamer
🇵🇱Maciej Lamer
ELO 1256
3-2Final setsLamer won
MWMichal Wolny
🇵🇱Michal Wolny
ELO 1479
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Wolny at 74%. The actual result was Maciej Lamer 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Wolny favoured — closing 1.35
Upset
Total 71.5
84 points played
Over
Set handicap
Wolny −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Wolny −7.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
7.25
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Maciej Lamer is favoured to win, below means Michal Wolny.

▲ Maciej Lamerpre 21% → final 86%
Michal Wolny ▼
Biggest swing 81 ptsLamer recovered from 12%72 points · 5 games