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26 Oct · 11:35 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
BMBartlomiej Mleczko
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mleczko
ELO 1495
3-1Final setsMleczko won
DSDominik Solilo
🇵🇱Dominik Solilo
ELO 1516
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Solilo at 52%. The actual result was Bartlomiej Mleczko 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Solilo favoured — closing 1.6
Upset
Total 74.5
78 points played
Over
Set handicap
Solilo −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Solilo −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.9
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartlomiej Mleczko is favoured to win, below means Dominik Solilo.

▲ Bartlomiej Mleczkopre 51% → final 95%
Dominik Solilo ▼
Biggest swing 70 ptsMleczko recovered from 28%72 points · 4 games