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26 Oct · 12:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
GPGrzegorz Poliniewicz
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1694
1-3Final setsKosmal won
DKDawid Kosmal
🇵🇱Dawid Kosmal
ELO 1633
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Poliniewicz at 60%. The actual result was Dawid Kosmal 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Poliniewicz favoured — closing 1.47
Upset
Total 73.5
75 points played
Over
Set handicap
Poliniewicz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Poliniewicz −5.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Grzegorz Poliniewicz is favoured to win, below means Dawid Kosmal.

▲ Grzegorz Poliniewiczpre 64% → final 6%
Dawid Kosmal ▼
Biggest swing 83 ptsKosmal recovered from 16%72 points · 5 games