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26 Oct · 11:55 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
BCBartosz Czerwinski
🇵🇱Bartosz Czerwinski
ELO 1559
0-3Final setsRutkowski won
MRMateusz Rutkowski
🇵🇱Mateusz Rutkowski
ELO 1578
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Rutkowski at 50%. The actual result was Mateusz Rutkowski 0-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Czerwinski favoured — closing 1.85
Upset
Total 74.5
55 points played
Under
Set handicap
Czerwinski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Czerwinski −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartosz Czerwinski is favoured to win, below means Mateusz Rutkowski.

▲ Bartosz Czerwinskipre 54% → final 99%
Mateusz Rutkowski ▼
Biggest swing 63 ptsCzerwinski recovered from 36%72 points · 5 games