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26 Oct · 12:45 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MKMaciej Kolek
🇵🇱Maciej Kolek
ELO 1636
2-3Final setsCzerwinski won
BCBartosz Czerwinski
🇵🇱Bartosz Czerwinski
ELO 1559
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kolek at 59%. The actual result was Bartosz Czerwinski 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Czerwinski favoured — closing 1.8
Favourite won
Total 74.5
86 points played
Over
Set handicap
Czerwinski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Czerwinski −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Maciej Kolek is favoured to win, below means Bartosz Czerwinski.

▲ Maciej Kolekpre 63% → final 96%
Bartosz Czerwinski ▼
Biggest swing 54 ptsKolek recovered from 44%72 points · 5 games