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26 Oct · 15:15 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
BCBartosz Czerwinski
🇵🇱Bartosz Czerwinski
ELO 1559
2-3Final setsKosmal won
DKDawid Kosmal
🇵🇱Dawid Kosmal
ELO 1633
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kosmal at 57%. The actual result was Dawid Kosmal 2-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Dawid Kosmal favoured — closing 1.57
Favourite won
Total 74.5
83 points played
Over
Set handicap
Dawid Kosmal −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Dawid Kosmal −3.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartosz Czerwinski is favoured to win, below means Dawid Kosmal.

▲ Bartosz Czerwinskipre 46% → final 75%
Dawid Kosmal ▼
Biggest swing 79 ptsCzerwinski recovered from 11%72 points · 5 games