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26 Oct · 15:35 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MKMaciej Kolek
🇵🇱Maciej Kolek
ELO 1636
1-3Final setsRutkowski won
MRMateusz Rutkowski
🇵🇱Mateusz Rutkowski
ELO 1578
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kolek at 58%. The actual result was Mateusz Rutkowski 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mateusz Rutkowski favoured — closing 1.42
Favourite won
Total 73.5
78 points played
Over
Set handicap
Mateusz Rutkowski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Mateusz Rutkowski −5.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Maciej Kolek is favoured to win, below means Mateusz Rutkowski.

▲ Maciej Kolekpre 55% → final 99%
Mateusz Rutkowski ▼
Biggest swing 59 ptsKolek recovered from 41%72 points · 4 games