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26 Oct · 17:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
PGPiotr Gesiarz
🇵🇱Piotr Gesiarz
ELO 1525
3-2Final setsGesiarz won
DMDariusz Maszczynski
🇵🇱Dariusz Maszczynski
ELO 1247
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Gesiarz at 77%. The actual result was Piotr Gesiarz 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Piotr Gesiarz favoured — closing 1.18
Favourite won
Total 70.5
105 points played
Over
Set handicap
Piotr Gesiarz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Piotr Gesiarz −9.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Piotr Gesiarz is favoured to win, below means Dariusz Maszczynski.

▲ Piotr Gesiarzpre 76% → final 83%
Dariusz Maszczynski ▼
Biggest swing 41 pts72 points · 5 games