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← TT Elite Series predictions
26 Oct · 17:55 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MZMariusz Zwolinski
🇵🇱Mariusz Zwolinski
ELO 1330
2-3Final setsKowalczyk won
MKMarcin Kowalczyk
🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk
ELO 1337
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Zwolinski at 54%. The actual result was Marcin Kowalczyk 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mariusz Zwolinski favoured — closing 1.8
Upset
Total 74.5
100 points played
Over
Set handicap
Mariusz Zwolinski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Mariusz Zwolinski −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mariusz Zwolinski is favoured to win, below means Marcin Kowalczyk.

▲ Mariusz Zwolinskipre 58% → final 24%
Marcin Kowalczyk ▼
Biggest swing 74 ptsKowalczyk recovered from 16%72 points · 5 games