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26 Oct · 20:40 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MLMikolaj Lukaszewski
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1328
2-3Final setsStrus won
PSPiotr Strus
🇵🇱Piotr Strus
ELO 1355
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Strus at 52%. The actual result was Piotr Strus 2-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Piotr Strus favoured — closing 1.75
Favourite won
Total 75.5
98 points played
Over
Set handicap
Piotr Strus −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Piotr Strus −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mikolaj Lukaszewski is favoured to win, below means Piotr Strus.

▲ Mikolaj Lukaszewskipre 51% → final 23%
Piotr Strus ▼
Biggest swing 80 ptsStrus recovered from 11%72 points · 5 games