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26 Oct · 21:05 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MZMariusz Zwolinski
🇵🇱Mariusz Zwolinski
ELO 1354
1-3Final setsSzoltysek won
ASArtur Szoltysek
🇵🇱Artur Szoltysek
ELO 1322
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Zwolinski at 52%. The actual result was Artur Szoltysek 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mariusz Zwolinski favoured — closing 1.65
Upset
Total 75.5
77 points played
Over
Set handicap
Mariusz Zwolinski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Mariusz Zwolinski −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 1-3 at close
3.8
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mariusz Zwolinski is favoured to win, below means Artur Szoltysek.

▲ Mariusz Zwolinskipre 49% → final 2%
Artur Szoltysek ▼
Biggest swing 47 pts72 points · 4 games