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26 Oct · 22:05 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
ASArtur Szoltysek
🇵🇱Artur Szoltysek
ELO 1322
3-2Final setsSzoltysek won
MKMarcin Kowalczyk
🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk
ELO 1315
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kowalczyk at 52%. The actual result was Artur Szoltysek 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marcin Kowalczyk favoured — closing 1.7
Upset
Total 74.5
86 points played
Over
Set handicap
Marcin Kowalczyk −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Marcin Kowalczyk −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.4
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Artur Szoltysek is favoured to win, below means Marcin Kowalczyk.

▲ Artur Szoltysekpre 51% → final 98%
Marcin Kowalczyk ▼
Biggest swing 59 ptsSzoltysek recovered from 39%72 points · 5 games