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26 Oct · 21:45 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
GMGrzegorz Marud
🇵🇱Grzegorz Marud
ELO 1526
3-1Final setsMarud won
WUWojciech Urban
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1432
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Marud at 57%. The actual result was Grzegorz Marud 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Wojciech Urban favoured — closing 1.8
Upset
Total 74.5
74 points played
Under
Set handicap
Wojciech Urban −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Wojciech Urban −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.2
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Grzegorz Marud is favoured to win, below means Wojciech Urban.

▲ Grzegorz Marudpre 54% → final 3%
Wojciech Urban ▼
Biggest swing 64 ptsUrban recovered from 33%58 points · 3 games