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26 Oct · 22:55 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MTMateusz Trela
🇵🇱Mateusz Trela
ELO 1356
1-3Final setsLukaszewski won
MLMikolaj Lukaszewski
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1328
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Trela at 54%. The actual result was Mikolaj Lukaszewski 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mateusz Trela favoured — closing 1.55
Upset
Total 77.5
81 points played
Over
Set handicap
Mateusz Trela −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Mateusz Trela −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mateusz Trela is favoured to win, below means Mikolaj Lukaszewski.

▲ Mateusz Trelapre 58% → final 11%
Mikolaj Lukaszewski ▼
Biggest swing 60 ptsLukaszewski recovered from 31%72 points · 4 games