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26 Oct · 16:50 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MZMariusz Zwolinski
🇵🇱Mariusz Zwolinski
ELO 1354
3-1Final setsZwolinski won
PSPiotr Strus
🇵🇱Piotr Strus
ELO 1355
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Strus at 51%. The actual result was Mariusz Zwolinski 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mariusz Zwolinski favoured — closing 1.8
Favourite won
Total 75.5
76 points played
Over
Set handicap
Mariusz Zwolinski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Mariusz Zwolinski −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.2
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mariusz Zwolinski is favoured to win, below means Piotr Strus.

▲ Mariusz Zwolinskipre 53% → final 98%
Piotr Strus ▼
Biggest swing 70 ptsZwolinski recovered from 28%72 points · 4 games