27 Oct · 01:30 MEZMedium · Model Lean
GM
🇵🇱Grzegorz Marud
ELO 1526
FormWWWLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Marud
DD
🇵🇱Dawid Dytko
ELO 1471
FormWWLWL
56%
44%
🌟Marud stays under total as favourite 73% (30)
Fair odds · Marud
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+55
H2H1-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+55)