27 Oct · 02:00 MEZHigh · Clear Favorite
MM
🇵🇱Michal Machelski
ELO 1355
FormLLWLL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Michalik
JM
🇵🇱Jerzy Michalik
ELO 1465
FormLLLWW
38%
62%
Fair odds · Michalik
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~77 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+110
H2H65-29
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+110)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (65-29)