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27 Oct · 01:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
GMGrzegorz Marud
🇵🇱Grzegorz Marud
ELO 1561
3-0Final setsMarud won
HTHenryk Tkaczyk
🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk
ELO 1490
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Marud at 53%. The actual result was Grzegorz Marud 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marud favoured — closing 1.65
Favourite won
Total 73.5
53 points played
Under
Set handicap
Marud −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Marud −2.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
4.85
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Grzegorz Marud is favoured to win, below means Henryk Tkaczyk.

▲ Grzegorz Marudpre 57% → final 100%
Henryk Tkaczyk ▼
Biggest swing 61 ptsMarud recovered from 39%52 points · 3 games