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27 Oct · 02:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MMMichal Machelski
🇵🇱Michal Machelski
ELO 1364
3-0Final setsMachelski won
MWMiroslaw Warzecha
🇵🇱Miroslaw Warzecha
ELO 1653
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Warzecha at 81%. The actual result was Michal Machelski 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Warzecha favoured — closing 1.12
Upset
Total 67.5
58 points played
Under
Set handicap
Warzecha −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Warzecha −10.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
30
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Machelski is favoured to win, below means Miroslaw Warzecha.

▲ Michal Machelskipre 19% → final 99%
Miroslaw Warzecha ▼
Biggest swing 85 ptsMachelski recovered from 15%57 points · 3 games