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27 Oct · 05:50 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MLMarian Lebek
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1545
0-3Final setsMecik won
PMPatryk Mecik
🇵🇱Patryk Mecik
ELO 1365
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Lebek at 70%. The actual result was Patryk Mecik 0-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Lebek favoured — closing 1.3
Upset
Total 73.5
58 points played
Under
Set handicap
Lebek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Lebek −7.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marian Lebek is favoured to win, below means Patryk Mecik.

▲ Marian Lebekpre 68% → final 9%
Patryk Mecik ▼
Biggest swing 68 ptsMecik recovered from 28%57 points · 3 games