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27 Oct · 06:10 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
ARAdam Ruszkiewicz
🇵🇱Adam Ruszkiewicz
ELO 1518
3-1Final setsRuszkiewicz won
MCMilosz Cesarz
🇵🇱Milosz Cesarz
ELO 1378
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Ruszkiewicz at 64%. The actual result was Adam Ruszkiewicz 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Ruszkiewicz favoured — closing 1.55
Favourite won
Total 74.5
71 points played
Under
Set handicap
Ruszkiewicz −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Ruszkiewicz −4.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.45
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Adam Ruszkiewicz is favoured to win, below means Milosz Cesarz.

▲ Adam Ruszkiewiczpre 69% → final 97%
Milosz Cesarz ▼
Biggest swing 35 pts70 points · 4 games