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27 Oct · 06:05 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
GMGrzegorz Marud
🇵🇱Grzegorz Marud
ELO 1560
3-2Final setsMarud won
WUWojciech Urban
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1449
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Marud at 61%. The actual result was Grzegorz Marud 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marud favoured — closing 1.6
Favourite won
Total 74.5
88 points played
Over
Set handicap
Marud −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Marud −3.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Grzegorz Marud is favoured to win, below means Wojciech Urban.

▲ Grzegorz Marudpre 58% → final 98%
Wojciech Urban ▼
Biggest swing 87 ptsMarud recovered from 11%72 points · 5 games