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27 Oct · 07:05 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MMMateusz Misiak
🇵🇱Mateusz Misiak
ELO 1365
2-3Final setsMleczko won
BMBartlomiej Mleczko
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mleczko
ELO 1490
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Mleczko at 59%. The actual result was Bartlomiej Mleczko 2-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mleczko favoured — closing 1.7
Favourite won
Total 74.5
98 points played
Over
Set handicap
Mleczko −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Mleczko −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 2-3 at close
5.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mateusz Misiak is favoured to win, below means Bartlomiej Mleczko.

▲ Mateusz Misiakpre 44% → final 9%
Bartlomiej Mleczko ▼
Biggest swing 63 ptsMleczko recovered from 28%72 points · 5 games