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27 Oct · 09:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
KHKrzysztof Hetnar
🇵🇱Krzysztof Hetnar
ELO 1602
3-1Final setsHetnar won
MLMarian Lebek
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1545
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Hetnar at 55%. The actual result was Krzysztof Hetnar 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Hetnar favoured — closing 1.6
Favourite won
Total 73.5
73 points played
Under
Set handicap
Hetnar −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Hetnar −3.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.45
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Krzysztof Hetnar is favoured to win, below means Marian Lebek.

▲ Krzysztof Hetnarpre 59% → final 100%
Marian Lebek ▼
Biggest swing 41 pts72 points · 4 games