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27 Oct · 09:45 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MBMariusz Baron
🇵🇱Mariusz Baron
ELO 1476
3-2Final setsBaron won
KSKacper Slawinski
🇵🇱Kacper Slawinski
ELO 1598
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Slawinski at 64%. The actual result was Mariusz Baron 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Slawinski favoured — closing 1.32
Upset
Total 74.5
97 points played
Over
Set handicap
Slawinski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Slawinski −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
6.25
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mariusz Baron is favoured to win, below means Kacper Slawinski.

▲ Mariusz Baronpre 38% → final 88%
Kacper Slawinski ▼
Biggest swing 72 ptsBaron recovered from 16%72 points · 5 games