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27 Oct · 10:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JMJacek Mitas
🇵🇱Jacek Mitas
ELO 1643
3-2Final setsMitas won
MKMaciej Kolek
🇵🇱Maciej Kolek
ELO 1635
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kolek at 51%. The actual result was Jacek Mitas 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Kolek favoured — closing 1.8
Upset
Total 73.5
87 points played
Over
Set handicap
Kolek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Kolek −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.6
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jacek Mitas is favoured to win, below means Maciej Kolek.

▲ Jacek Mitaspre 45% → final 100%
Maciej Kolek ▼
Biggest swing 82 ptsMitas recovered from 18%72 points · 5 games