Kamil Smolka vs Mariusz Baron — TT Elite Series

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27 Oct · 10:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Kamil Smolka

ELO 1512

3-2Final setsSmolka won

🇵🇱Mariusz Baron

ELO 1476

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Smolka at 51%. The actual result was Kamil Smolka 3-2 — the pick was correct.

Kamil Smolka — profile →Mariusz Baron — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Baron favoured — closing 1.8

Upset

Total 75.5

84 points played

Over

Set handicap

Baron −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Baron −0.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Over

Exact score

market priced 3-2 at close

5.2

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Kamil Smolka is favoured to win, below means Mariusz Baron.

▲ Kamil Smolkapre 55% → final 98%

Mariusz Baron ▼

Biggest swing 49 pts72 points · 5 games