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27 Oct · 10:45 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MRMateusz Rutkowski
🇵🇱Mateusz Rutkowski
ELO 1554
1-3Final setsOlbrycht won
MOMichal Olbrycht
🇵🇱Michal Olbrycht
ELO 1691
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Olbrycht at 63%. The actual result was Michal Olbrycht 1-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Michal Olbrycht favoured — closing 1.65
Favourite won
Total 74.5
74 points played
Under
Set handicap
Michal Olbrycht −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Michal Olbrycht −2.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mateusz Rutkowski is favoured to win, below means Michal Olbrycht.

▲ Mateusz Rutkowskipre 33% → final 1%
Michal Olbrycht ▼
Biggest swing 50 pts72 points · 4 games