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27 Oct · 12:05 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
KSKamil Smolka
🇵🇱Kamil Smolka
ELO 1512
3-1Final setsSmolka won
KSKacper Slawinski
🇵🇱Kacper Slawinski
ELO 1598
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Slawinski at 61%. The actual result was Kamil Smolka 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Slawinski favoured — closing 1.52
Upset
Total 73.5
79 points played
Over
Set handicap
Slawinski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Slawinski −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
5.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Kamil Smolka is favoured to win, below means Kacper Slawinski.

▲ Kamil Smolkapre 42% → final 87%
Kacper Slawinski ▼
Biggest swing 88 ptsSmolka recovered from 12%72 points · 4 games