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27 Oct · 11:55 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MRMateusz Rutkowski
🇵🇱Mateusz Rutkowski
ELO 1561
1-3Final setsCzerwinski won
BCBartosz Czerwinski
🇵🇱Bartosz Czerwinski
ELO 1533
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Rutkowski at 55%. The actual result was Bartosz Czerwinski 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Rutkowski favoured — closing 1.8
Upset
Total 74.5
68 points played
Under
Set handicap
Rutkowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Rutkowski −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mateusz Rutkowski is favoured to win, below means Bartosz Czerwinski.

▲ Mateusz Rutkowskipre 59% → final 12%
Bartosz Czerwinski ▼
Biggest swing 48 ptsCzerwinski recovered from 40%67 points · 4 games