Mariusz Baron vs Rafal Gajda — TT Elite Series

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27 Oct · 12:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇵🇱Mariusz Baron

ELO 1476

3-0Final setsBaron won

🇵🇱Rafal Gajda

ELO 1466

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Gajda at 51%. The actual result was Mariusz Baron 3-0 — the underdog won.

Mariusz Baron — profile →Rafal Gajda — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Gajda favoured — closing 1.7

Upset

Total 76.5

56 points played

Under

Set handicap

Gajda −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Gajda −1.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-0 at close

7.25

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mariusz Baron is favoured to win, below means Rafal Gajda.

▲ Mariusz Baronpre 45% → final 95%

Rafal Gajda ▼

Biggest swing 54 ptsBaron recovered from 42%67 points · 3 games